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Harry Stedman
Tuesday 13 Jan 2026

Side Bar – At A Glance
Associated British Foods’ proposed acquisition of Hovis has been moved into a full Phase 2 investigation by the UK competition regulator, using a fast-track route requested by the parties.
The deal would bring Hovis together with ABF’s Allied Bakeries (Kingsmill, Allinson’s, Sunblest), combining an estimated ~18% and ~6% share of the pre-sliced packaged bread market. Warburtons remains the largest player at around ~28%.
The CMA’s statutory deadline for its Phase 2 decision is 24 June 2026.
CMA Fast-Tracks ABF’s Hovis Deal Into Phase 2 Investigation
The UK competition regulator has escalated Associated British Foods’ proposed acquisition of Hovis into an in-depth Phase 2 investigation, using a fast-track process requested by the merging parties.
The proposed deal would see ABF — owner of Allied Bakeries, which produces Kingsmill as well as brands including Allinson’s and Sunblest — acquire the Hovis business from private equity owner Endless. Hovis is one of the UK’s best-known bread brands, founded in the 1880s, with national manufacturing and distribution operations serving major grocery and convenience retailers.
What the regulator is examining
Phase 2 investigations are the Competition and Markets Authority’s most detailed form of merger review. They are designed to test whether a deal could lead to a “substantial lessening of competition” — which can impact consumer outcomes such as:
pricing and promotional intensity
product choice and quality
service levels and on-shelf availability
innovation and investment
competitive pressure in retail supply negotiations
The CMA has stated that moving to Phase 2 under a fast-track route does not, in itself, represent a formal finding on competition issues. Instead, it allows the investigation to move directly to an independent inquiry group for a deeper examination of the evidence.
Why the bread category is under the spotlight
Packaged sliced bread remains a major household staple, but it is also a high-volume, tight-margin category facing structural change. Consumer demand has been shifting — with growth in bakery-style loaves, speciality products and alternative options, alongside greater scrutiny of processed foods. That backdrop raises the stakes for both brand owners and retailers as they compete for shelf space and shopper loyalty.
In market-share terms, Hovis is estimated to hold around 18%of the UK pre-sliced packaged bread market. ABF’s Allied Bakeries is estimated at around 6%. The largest player, Warburtons, is estimated at around 28%. Combined, Hovis and Allied Bakeries would represent roughly 24%, which would still leave Warburtons as market leader — but would create a larger consolidated competitor among national branded suppliers.
What ABF and Hovis are saying
ABF has indicated that it is seeking regulatory clearance as efficiently as possible and intends to work constructively with the CMA. The group’s position is that bringing the businesses together could create a more sustainable and investable bakery operation, supporting innovation and stronger competition in the category.
Hovis has also indicated it will continue working with the CMA to secure clearance, while operating as normal during the review process.
Leadership and timing
Hovis has experienced senior leadership change during the deal period. In September 2025, Hovis confirmed its CEO, Jon Jenkins, was stepping down after three years in the role.
The CMA’s Phase 2 investigation is now underway and will be conducted by an independent inquiry group. The statutory deadline for the regulator’s decision is 24 June 2026.
What happens next
Phase 2 outcomes typically fall into three broad categories:
clearance (the deal can proceed)
clearance with remedies (commitments to address competition concerns)
prohibition (the deal cannot proceed)
Remedies, where required, can vary widely depending on the competition issues identified — and can include behavioural commitments or structural solutions.
UK Food Council will continue monitoring this inquiry and the implications for manufacturers, retailers, and consumers across the bakery and grocery supply chain.
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